
TrumpâÂÂs troubles with Iran could open the door to China
Beijing launches diplomatic salvo to woo Gulf leaders and bolster its influence in the region
China has held a flurry of meetings with Gulf leaders in a sign that Beijing is stepping up its diplomatic efforts in the Middle East.
The diplomatic salvo comes before a highly anticipated meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping when the US president is expected to attend the Apec conference in Shenzhen, China, on 18 and 19 November.
Xi held talks with Haitham bin Tariq, OmanâÂÂs sultan, in a historic state visit to Beijing on Monday.
President XiâÂÂs foreign minister, Wang Yi, met Saudi ArabiaâÂÂs national security adviser, Musaad bin Mohammed Al Aiban, and the deputy secretary of IranâÂÂs national security council, Ali Bagheri Kani.
HaithamâÂÂs trip to Beijing is the first time that an Omani head of state has visited China since the two countries established diplomatic relations nearly 50 years ago. According to a Chinese readout of the meeting, Xi warned that the Middle East should not become an arena for âÂÂgreat power rivalry and geopolitical conflictsâÂÂ.
He said: âÂÂChina has always been actively committed to stopping conflict and promoting peace, and hopes to contribute wisdom and solutions to resolving the regional security dilemma.âÂÂ
Wang said after his separate talks that China was willing to âÂÂplay a constructive role in helping the region emerge from the shadow of the pandemic and achieve lasting peace and stabilityâÂÂ. In his meeting with Bagheri Kani, Wang said China supported Iran âÂÂin safeguarding its sovereignty and securityâÂÂ. According to China, the Iranian official said his country looked forward to China âÂÂplaying a more important role in international and regional peaceâÂÂ.

When the US and Israel launched joint strikes on Iran in February, China was credited with pushing Tehran toward ceasefire talks in Pakistan, bolstering its status as a regional mediator.
BeijingâÂÂs influence in the Middle East is âÂÂno longer what it used to beâÂÂ, said Shen Dingli, a Shanghai-based scholar of international relations. But he added: âÂÂGiven ChinaâÂÂs increased investment and trade in the region ⦠its influence cannot be ignored.âÂÂ
As the war has dragged on, ChinaâÂÂs diplomatic efforts have been muted. Its biggest economic leverage over Iran is the fact that it buys about 90% of the Middle Eastern countryâÂÂs crude oil exports. Between April and June, it slashed its crude imports by 30%, with the total in June plunging to the lowest level in a decade. That saved the global economy from a major spike in inflation. According to some estimates, ChinaâÂÂs cut in oil imports shaved $30 or more off barrel prices of Brent crude, a global benchmark.
Beijing has otherwise done little to broker peace in the Middle East. That is partly because it does not see the conflict as being its responsibility to resolve. In March, Wang said the war âÂÂshould never have happenedâ and that the US and Israel would find âÂÂno popular supportâ for the strikes.
China is also a beneficiary from the damage that the fighting has done to the USâÂÂs global reputation.
According to findings published in July by the Pew Research Center, a Washington-based thinktank, China is now viewed more favourably than the US in a majority of 36 countries surveyed.
The pain caused by the long-term disruption to the strait of Hormuz, the waterway through which much of the worldâÂÂs oil and gas flows, also poses a risk to ChinaâÂÂs economy. Shortages of energy cause inflation, which risks reducing global demand for Chinese goods.
Tehran and Washington are locked in intensive talks to reach an agreement, which could include reopening the strait. Trump has repeatedly threatened to renew military action against Iran after TuesdayâÂÂs midterm elections in the US, a move which would cause alarm in Beijing.
TrumpâÂÂs desperation to reach a deal in the Middle East may also provide an opportunity for China to present itself as a regional peacemaker, bolstering XiâÂÂs status before their meeting. Beijing brokered a detente between Saudi Arabia and Iran in 2023 but since then its diplomatic impact in the region has been limited.
Shen said ChinaâÂÂs desire to improve diplomatic relations with Middle Eastern countries as well as the US were âÂÂmutually reinforcingâ trends.
ChinaâÂÂs foreign ministry spokesperson, Mao Ning, said on Monday that China would send special envoy Zhai Jun to Iran, Oman and Saudi Arabia in early to mid-November.
