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Canary Capital is anticipated to launch the primary US-based spot XRP ETF that can have 100% publicity to the asset on November 13, after its most up-to-date updates that permit it to bypass common approval procedures.

Consequently, we requested ChatGPT and Perplexity whether or not it will change into as bullish as many anticipated, or if it would change into a traditional ‘sell-the-news’ occasion.

What Comes First?

Since November began, XRP’s value has skilled fairly the unstable rollercoaster. It plunged beneath $2.10 throughout the November 5 crash, and spiked to virtually $2.60 only a few days later. It has since misplaced some traction and now struggles to stay above $2.40. What’s significantly attention-grabbing is that the rally from $2.10 to $2.60 occurred regardless of Ripple whales promoting en masse.

Nevertheless, Perplexity outlined that if this development continues, the stress on XRP’s value is more likely to intensify.

“Current on-chain evaluation reveals vital whale promoting and enormous quantities of XRP being moved to exchanges over the previous weeks, indicating a distribution section. Such promoting stress from sensible cash typically results in subdued and even pullback value motion within the brief time period as whales capitalize on retail optimism.”

The AI answer added that the present $2.40 stage seems because the calm earlier than the storm, because it displays the stress between the buildup for an ETF catalyst and energetic promoting. It outlined historic performances by ETH and BTC after their ETF launches. It warned that XRP may expertise an identical “buy-the-rumor, sell-the-news” conduct, the place the value rallies main as much as the occasion solely to endure a average pullback instantly after, as merchants take income.

ChatGPT’s output was comparable. It believes the most probably short-term state of affairs for XRP’s value can be a right away spike to round $3.00 after launch, adopted by a pointy rejection and pullback to someplace between $2.00 and $2.20.

However What Concerning the Lengthy-Run?

Though each AI options predicted short-term ache for XRP, they imagine the existence of spot Ripple ETFs is basically bullish for the asset’s long-term efficiency.

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“The longer-term outlook stays bullish as a result of anticipated institutional inflows and improved market confidence from a regulated XRP funding automobile. This means that after any typical sell-the-news dip, the value may stabilize and resume upward momentum over the following weeks to months,” mentioned Perplexity.

ChatGPT was a bit extra exact in its predictions, stating that the underlying asset’s value can set up a stable base at round $2.40 for the subsequent few weeks after the mud of the launch settles. Furthermore, it may transcend $3.20 however solely beneath the correct circumstances.

It defined that the “actual development” might be felt after 1-3 months have handed, and the route might be decided by the precise ETF flows:

“Sustained inflows → gradual restoration and new highs.

Weak inflows → vary or extended correction.”